Featured Article

Tesla says EV sales growth may be ‘notably lower’ in 2024

The automaker’s earnings show a company at a profit-growth crossroads

Comment

The logo of a Tesla car is seen in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China
Image Credits: CFOTO/Future Publishing / Getty Images

Tesla’s strategy to drive sales through price cuts combined with the cost of bringing the Cybertruck into production and other R&D expenses put pressure on profits in the fourth quarter, according to earnings reported Wednesday.

While the company has managed to continue to expand sales — hitting a record delivery of 1.8 million EVs in 2023, it hasn’t translated to the same growth in profits, or even revenue. Even as Tesla’s deliveries have grown, its profits have narrowed largely due to price cuts aimed at driving sales and increased costs related to future products.

What’s more, Tesla cautions in the Q4 and annual earnings release it is currently “between two major growth waves.” While the Model Y and Model 3 have launched the company to greater success over the last few years, Tesla says the growth of its vehicle sales “may be notably lower” in 2024 as it prepares to launch a new vehicle platform on which it plans to build a smaller EV that costs around $25,000.

Shares fell 5.8% to $195.60 in after-market trading following the earnings report.

Tesla’s $25,000 EV

That smaller and cheaper EV will go into production in late 2025 at the company’s factory in Texas, CEO Elon Musk said on a call Wednesday, noting that it’s the only suitable location “because we really need the engineers to be living on the line.”

Production of the small EV will then expand to a yet-to-be-built factory in Mexico, according to Musk. Drew Baglino, the company’s senior vice president of powertrain and energy engineering, later reiterated that the company “wants to first demonstrate success with the next-generation platform in Austin before we start construction” in Mexico. Those comments suggest construction at the Mexico factory won’t begin until 2026.

Musk said the company plans to identify by the end of 2024 a third factory location located outside of North America where production of the smaller next-generation EV will eventually expand after Mexico.

There’s a “tremendous amount of new revolutionary manufacturing technology” wrapped up in the new platform, Musk said.

Operating income falls

Tesla reported net income (on a GAAP basis) of $7.9 billion in the fourth quarter, an unusually outsized figure that includes a one-time non-cash tax benefit of $5.9 billion for the release of valuation allowance on certain deferred tax assets.

The company’s operating income and its earnings on an adjusted basis provides a clearer picture of its financial performance.

Tesla reported operating income of $2.06 billion in the fourth quarter, a 47% decrease from the same year-ago period. Those results were negatively affected by an increase in operating expenses largely driven by AI and other R&D projects, the cost of the Cybertruck production ramp and lower revenue from its so-called Full Self-Driving software, according to Tesla. Tesla spent $1.1 billion on research and development in the fourth quarter, a 35% from the same period last year.

On the upside, Tesla said that it has benefited from a lower cost per vehicle, including raw material costs, the Inflation Reduction Act credit and growth in vehicle deliveries — all of which helped lessen the profit gap.

On an adjusted basis, the company earned $3.9 billion, a 27% drop from the same period last year.

Tesla was able to claw back some of its automotive industry-leading margins in the fourth quarter, thanks in part to a push to further reduce costs.

The company’s automotive gross margins, excluding regulatory credits, came in at 17.2%. That’s the first quarterly increase since Tesla began heavily cutting prices last year. But Tesla also said in the report that it’s reaching the “natural limit” of how much it can reduce costs on the existing vehicles. “[O]ver time, we expect our hardware-related profits to be accompanied by an acceleration of AI, software and fleet-based profits,” the company wrote.

Revenue continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace than Tesla has enjoyed in the past.

The company said it generated $25.17 billion revenue in Q4, a 3% increase from the same quarter last year. The results just barely missed analysts’ expectations. Analysts had expected the company to earn around $25.62 billion in revenue in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to Yahoo Finance data.

Tesla’s energy storage business grows

While Tesla was cautious about vehicle growth in 2024, the company remains bullish on the growth of its energy storage business. Storage deployments were up 125% year-over-year, even with a slower fourth quarter.

It’s becoming such a stalwart corner of Tesla’s business that the company will start releasing deployment figures along with its typical quarterly vehicle production and delivery reports, Baglino said on the call.

“I said for many years that the storage business would grow much faster than the car business, and it is doing that,” Musk said.

More TechCrunch

Founder-market fit is one of the most crucial factors in a startup’s success, and operators (someone involved in the day-to-day operations of a startup) turned founders have an almost unfair advantage…

OpenseedVC, which backs operators in Africa and Europe starting their companies, reaches first close of $10M fund

A Singapore High Court has effectively approved Pine Labs’ request to shift its operations to India.

Pine Labs gets Singapore court approval to shift base to India

The AI Safety Institute, a U.K. body that aims to assess and address risks in AI platforms, has said it will open a second location in San Francisco. 

UK opens office in San Francisco to tackle AI risk

Companies are always looking for an edge, and searching for ways to encourage their employees to innovate. One way to do that is by running an internal hackathon around a…

Why companies are turning to internal hackathons

Featured Article

I’m rooting for Melinda French Gates to fix tech’s broken ‘brilliant jerk’ culture

Women in tech still face a shocking level of mistreatment at work. Melinda French Gates is one of the few working to change that.

19 hours ago
I’m rooting for Melinda French Gates to fix tech’s  broken ‘brilliant jerk’ culture

Blue Origin has successfully completed its NS-25 mission, resuming crewed flights for the first time in nearly two years. The mission brought six tourist crew members to the edge of…

Blue Origin successfully launches its first crewed mission since 2022

Creative Artists Agency (CAA), one of the top entertainment and sports talent agencies, is hoping to be at the forefront of AI protection services for celebrities in Hollywood. With many…

Hollywood agency CAA aims to help stars manage their own AI likenesses

Expedia says Rathi Murthy and Sreenivas Rachamadugu, respectively its CTO and senior vice president of core services product & engineering, are no longer employed at the travel booking company. In…

Expedia says two execs dismissed after ‘violation of company policy’

Welcome back to TechCrunch’s Week in Review. This week had two major events from OpenAI and Google. OpenAI’s spring update event saw the reveal of its new model, GPT-4o, which…

OpenAI and Google lay out their competing AI visions

When Jeffrey Wang posted to X asking if anyone wanted to go in on an order of fancy-but-affordable office nap pods, he didn’t expect the post to go viral.

With AI startups booming, nap pods and Silicon Valley hustle culture are back

OpenAI’s Superalignment team, responsible for developing ways to govern and steer “superintelligent” AI systems, was promised 20% of the company’s compute resources, according to a person from that team. But…

OpenAI created a team to control ‘superintelligent’ AI — then let it wither, source says

A new crop of early-stage startups — along with some recent VC investments — illustrates a niche emerging in the autonomous vehicle technology sector. Unlike the companies bringing robotaxis to…

VCs and the military are fueling self-driving startups that don’t need roads

When the founders of Sagetap, Sahil Khanna and Kevin Hughes, started working at early-stage enterprise software startups, they were surprised to find that the companies they worked at were trying…

Deal Dive: Sagetap looks to bring enterprise software sales into the 21st century

Keeping up with an industry as fast-moving as AI is a tall order. So until an AI can do it for you, here’s a handy roundup of recent stories in the world…

This Week in AI: OpenAI moves away from safety

After Apple loosened its App Store guidelines to permit game emulators, the retro game emulator Delta — an app 10 years in the making — hit the top of the…

Adobe comes after indie game emulator Delta for copying its logo

Meta is once again taking on its competitors by developing a feature that borrows concepts from others — in this case, BeReal and Snapchat. The company is developing a feature…

Meta’s latest experiment borrows from BeReal’s and Snapchat’s core ideas

Welcome to Startups Weekly! We’ve been drowning in AI news this week, with Google’s I/O setting the pace. And Elon Musk rages against the machine.

Startups Weekly: It’s the dawning of the age of AI — plus,  Musk is raging against the machine

IndieBio’s Bay Area incubator is about to debut its 15th cohort of biotech startups. We took special note of a few, which were making some major, bordering on ludicrous, claims…

IndieBio’s SF incubator lineup is making some wild biotech promises

YouTube TV has announced that its multiview feature for watching four streams at once is now available on Android phones and tablets. The Android launch comes two months after YouTube…

YouTube TV’s ‘multiview’ feature is now available on Android phones and tablets

Featured Article

Two Santa Cruz students uncover security bug that could let millions do their laundry for free

CSC ServiceWorks provides laundry machines to thousands of residential homes and universities, but the company ignored requests to fix a security bug.

3 days ago
Two Santa Cruz students uncover security bug that could let millions do their laundry for free

TechCrunch Disrupt 2024 is just around the corner, and the buzz is palpable. But what if we told you there’s a chance for you to not just attend, but also…

Harness the TechCrunch Effect: Host a Side Event at Disrupt 2024

Decks are all about telling a compelling story and Goodcarbon does a good job on that front. But there’s important information missing too.

Pitch Deck Teardown: Goodcarbon’s $5.5M seed deck

Slack is making it difficult for its customers if they want the company to stop using its data for model training.

Slack under attack over sneaky AI training policy

A Texas-based company that provides health insurance and benefit plans disclosed a data breach affecting almost 2.5 million people, some of whom had their Social Security number stolen. WebTPA said…

Healthcare company WebTPA discloses breach affecting 2.5 million people

Featured Article

Microsoft dodges UK antitrust scrutiny over its Mistral AI stake

Microsoft won’t be facing antitrust scrutiny in the U.K. over its recent investment into French AI startup Mistral AI.

3 days ago
Microsoft dodges UK antitrust scrutiny over its Mistral AI stake

Ember has partnered with HSBC in the U.K. so that the bank’s business customers can access Ember’s services from their online accounts.

Embedded finance is still trendy as accounting automation startup Ember partners with HSBC UK

Kudos uses AI to figure out consumer spending habits so it can then provide more personalized financial advice, like maximizing rewards and utilizing credit effectively.

Kudos lands $10M for an AI smart wallet that picks the best credit card for purchases

The EU’s warning comes after Microsoft failed to respond to a legally binding request for information that focused on its generative AI tools.

EU warns Microsoft it could be fined billions over missing GenAI risk info

The prospects for troubled banking-as-a-service startup Synapse have gone from bad to worse this week after a United States Trustee filed an emergency motion on Wednesday.  The trustee is asking…

A US Trustee wants troubled fintech Synapse to be liquidated via Chapter 7 bankruptcy, cites ‘gross mismanagement’

U.K.-based Seraphim Space is spinning up its 13th accelerator program, with nine participating companies working on a range of tech from propulsion to in-space manufacturing and space situational awareness. The…

Seraphim’s latest space accelerator welcomes nine companies