Startups

On the journey to Series B, strategy is more important than metrics

Comment

A chess figure casts the shadow of a different figure on an image midway through the photo and the illustration.
Image Credits: miguelangelortega (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Ophelia Brown

Contributor

Ophelia Brown is the founder of Blossom Capital, an early-stage venture fund.

Software founders have never had so many metrics thrown at them by VCs on how to run a business. Across social media, in newsletters and at events, it’s been hard to escape charts on measuring CAC, cash burn, growth and efficiency.

We’ve never believed that great businesses are built solely on metrics or KPIs. Rather, we guide founders to build a strategy that helps them understand when to grow, when to pull back, when to spend and when to save.

Below, we’ve put together some answers to the questions we keep hearing around growth and fundraising.

What’s the goal of the journey from Series A to Series B?

Just as the journey from the seed to Series A stage is about finding product-market fit, the journey from Series A to B is also defined well.

The purpose of the capital raised at Series A is to take the company from initial signs of product-market fit to having predictable revenue growth.

By the time of your Series B, you’re expected to have a go-to-market engine that lets you know if you invest $1 into sales and marketing, you’ll get $X back (hopefully, X is more than $1).

It’s helpful to have that goal in mind when planning your spending and team structure.

Most common mistake: Getting to Series B without a scalable go-to-market plan.

How aggressively should we grow this year?

In 2021, the answer would have been to grow as fast as possible, regardless of burn. In 2022, you’ve been told to forego growth and pursue profitability. We say: Don’t let the financial markets dictate your strategy.

There is no definitive answer to this question. Just remember that you raised money to capitalize on an opportunity not to preserve cash. As a founder, you should be comfortable with taking risks, but that doesn’t mean you should be reckless. There’s a difference between cutting back on spending because the opportunity isn’t evolving as expected and running out of cash at short notice.

Fortune favors the brave. If you are benefiting from structural tailwinds, now is not the time to pull back.

Most common mistake: Being overly focused on cash preservation over growth when things are working.

How should we plan our spending?

For each year, make plans for best- and worst-case scenarios. With so much economic uncertainty, it’s advisable to adjust your plan every quarter.

You can also safeguard against uncertainty. Deals often fail unexpectedly because of budget cuts or layoffs. Deal with this by budgeting for a bigger sales pipeline than you think you’ll need.

Take your expected conversion rate at each stage and reduce it by 20%. That will help buffer against unexpected losses.

Every role should be considered to be generating revenue. Maximize the productivity, and therefore revenue, of your team. Are product and engineering shipping features fast enough to unlock more revenue? Are the sales team maxed out for demos? Are the leads from marketing actually converting to closed customers?

Most common mistake: Being overly optimistic about revenue assumptions and not allowing a buffer for things going wrong.

How should we think about runway and capital preservation?

Capital is no longer abundant, so it is sensible to think about the cost of growth and how far the money needs to go.

How much runway you maintain should be a function of how much you need it.

If you’re confident in the opportunity, customers are banging on your door and selling is easy, then you can afford to be more aggressive in your spending to accelerate growth.

On the flip side, if your account executives are missing targets, or the product-market fit doesn’t seem to be working for a broader customer base, then it’s time to slow down spending to gain room to experiment and figure out what works.

Most common mistake: Not knowing which category you fall into. Scaling when things aren’t working just amplifies problems rather than fixing them.

Plan with strategy, not metrics

Early-stage companies are, by nature, quite different from public tech businesses or companies further along in their journey. Rather than following metrics that might have worked elsewhere, your role as founder is to be responsive, agile and anticipative. That puts you in control.

If it were as easy as following a single roadmap, many more founders would find success. The best founders take as much advice as they can, but they know their business well enough to understand what will work and what won’t.

Knowing where you want to get to is only half the battle; finding the right way to get there is key. Forget about planning your business based on the metrics of the past decade. We live in a new world order.

More TechCrunch

The U.K.’s self-proclaimed “world-leading” regulations for self-driving cars are now official, after the Automated Vehicles (AV) Act received royal assent — the final rubber stamp any legislation must go through…

UK’s autonomous vehicle legislation becomes law, paving the way for first driverless cars by 2026

ChatGPT, OpenAI’s text-generating AI chatbot, has taken the world by storm. What started as a tool to hyper-charge productivity through writing essays and code with short text prompts has evolved…

ChatGPT: Everything you need to know about the AI-powered chatbot

SoLo Funds CEO Travis Holoway: “Regulators seem driven by press releases when they should be motivated by true consumer protection and empowering equitable solutions.”

Fintech lender Solo Funds is being sued again by the government over its lending practices

Hard tech startups generate a lot of buzz, but there’s a growing cohort of companies building digital tools squarely focused on making hard tech development faster, more efficient, and —…

Rollup wants to be the hardware engineer’s workhorse

TechCrunch Disrupt 2024 is not just about groundbreaking innovations, insightful panels, and visionary speakers — it’s also about listening to YOU, the audience, and what you feel is top of…

Disrupt Audience Choice vote closes Friday

Google says the new SDK would help Google expand on its core mission of connecting the right audience to the right content at the right time.

Google is launching a new Android feature to drive users back into their installed apps

Jolla has taken the official wraps off the first version of its personal server-based AI assistant in the making. The reborn startup is building a privacy-focused AI device — aka…

Jolla debuts privacy-focused AI hardware

OpenAI is removing one of the voices used by ChatGPT after users found that it sounded similar to Scarlett Johansson, the company announced on Monday. The voice, called Sky, is…

OpenAI to remove ChatGPT’s Scarlett Johansson-like voice

The ChatGPT mobile app’s net revenue first jumped 22% on the day of the GPT-4o launch and continued to grow in the following days.

ChatGPT’s mobile app revenue saw its biggest spike yet following GPT-4o launch

Dating app maker Bumble has acquired Geneva, an online platform built around forming real-world groups and clubs. The company said that the deal is designed to help it expand its…

Bumble buys community building app Geneva to expand further into friendships

CyberArk — one of the army of larger security companies founded out of Israel — is acquiring Venafi, a specialist in machine identity, for $1.54 billion. 

CyberArk snaps up Venafi for $1.54B to ramp up in machine-to-machine security

Founder-market fit is one of the most crucial factors in a startup’s success, and operators (someone involved in the day-to-day operations of a startup) turned founders have an almost unfair advantage…

OpenseedVC, which backs operators in Africa and Europe starting their companies, reaches first close of $10M fund

A Singapore High Court has effectively approved Pine Labs’ request to shift its operations to India.

Pine Labs gets Singapore court approval to shift base to India

The AI Safety Institute, a U.K. body that aims to assess and address risks in AI platforms, has said it will open a second location in San Francisco. 

UK opens office in San Francisco to tackle AI risk

Companies are always looking for an edge, and searching for ways to encourage their employees to innovate. One way to do that is by running an internal hackathon around a…

Why companies are turning to internal hackathons

Featured Article

I’m rooting for Melinda French Gates to fix tech’s broken ‘brilliant jerk’ culture

Women in tech still face a shocking level of mistreatment at work. Melinda French Gates is one of the few working to change that.

1 day ago
I’m rooting for Melinda French Gates to fix tech’s  broken ‘brilliant jerk’ culture

Blue Origin has successfully completed its NS-25 mission, resuming crewed flights for the first time in nearly two years. The mission brought six tourist crew members to the edge of…

Blue Origin successfully launches its first crewed mission since 2022

Creative Artists Agency (CAA), one of the top entertainment and sports talent agencies, is hoping to be at the forefront of AI protection services for celebrities in Hollywood. With many…

Hollywood agency CAA aims to help stars manage their own AI likenesses

Expedia says Rathi Murthy and Sreenivas Rachamadugu, respectively its CTO and senior vice president of core services product & engineering, are no longer employed at the travel booking company. In…

Expedia says two execs dismissed after ‘violation of company policy’

Welcome back to TechCrunch’s Week in Review. This week had two major events from OpenAI and Google. OpenAI’s spring update event saw the reveal of its new model, GPT-4o, which…

OpenAI and Google lay out their competing AI visions

When Jeffrey Wang posted to X asking if anyone wanted to go in on an order of fancy-but-affordable office nap pods, he didn’t expect the post to go viral.

With AI startups booming, nap pods and Silicon Valley hustle culture are back

OpenAI’s Superalignment team, responsible for developing ways to govern and steer “superintelligent” AI systems, was promised 20% of the company’s compute resources, according to a person from that team. But…

OpenAI created a team to control ‘superintelligent’ AI — then let it wither, source says

A new crop of early-stage startups — along with some recent VC investments — illustrates a niche emerging in the autonomous vehicle technology sector. Unlike the companies bringing robotaxis to…

VCs and the military are fueling self-driving startups that don’t need roads

When the founders of Sagetap, Sahil Khanna and Kevin Hughes, started working at early-stage enterprise software startups, they were surprised to find that the companies they worked at were trying…

Deal Dive: Sagetap looks to bring enterprise software sales into the 21st century

Keeping up with an industry as fast-moving as AI is a tall order. So until an AI can do it for you, here’s a handy roundup of recent stories in the world…

This Week in AI: OpenAI moves away from safety

After Apple loosened its App Store guidelines to permit game emulators, the retro game emulator Delta — an app 10 years in the making — hit the top of the…

Adobe comes after indie game emulator Delta for copying its logo

Meta is once again taking on its competitors by developing a feature that borrows concepts from others — in this case, BeReal and Snapchat. The company is developing a feature…

Meta’s latest experiment borrows from BeReal’s and Snapchat’s core ideas

Welcome to Startups Weekly! We’ve been drowning in AI news this week, with Google’s I/O setting the pace. And Elon Musk rages against the machine.

Startups Weekly: It’s the dawning of the age of AI — plus,  Musk is raging against the machine

IndieBio’s Bay Area incubator is about to debut its 15th cohort of biotech startups. We took special note of a few, which were making some major, bordering on ludicrous, claims…

IndieBio’s SF incubator lineup is making some wild biotech promises

YouTube TV has announced that its multiview feature for watching four streams at once is now available on Android phones and tablets. The Android launch comes two months after YouTube…

YouTube TV’s ‘multiview’ feature is now available on Android phones and tablets